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On November 2, 2024, New York, the most populous state in the United States, declared a Drought Watch following the driest October in 150 years. However, the root cause behind this drought isn’t just a seasonal anomaly—there’s a larger, more complex picture at play. To fully understand this issue, let’s first dive into some science.
The Science of Blue and Green Water
When we think of water, we often picture rivers, lakes, and oceans as a single source. But in reality, water is classified into two types: blue and green, each impacting rainfall in distinct ways.
Blue water includes the water in rivers, lakes, and underground reserves—the water we use for drinking, agriculture, and industry. This water evaporates directly due to heat in summer, later condensing as the air cools.
Green water, on the other hand, is the moisture stored in soil, essential for plant growth. Plants release this water back into the atmosphere through transpiration, contributing significantly to rainfall. In fact, green water drives almost half of all land rainfall.
How Deforestation Disrupts the Green Water Cycle
Rapid deforestation has increasingly disrupted this delicate green water cycle. With fewer trees, less moisture is released into the air, resulting in reduced rainfall. Although deforestation isn’t a new phenomenon, its accelerated rate in recent years has amplified its impact. For instance, in 2023 alone, 6.37 million hectares of forest were lost globally—a staggering 45% increase over 2022.
Deforestation’s effects aren’t confined to the locations where trees are cut; they ripple across continents. For instance, deforestation in Europe can influence rainfall patterns in the United States.
Pollution and Urbanization Worsen the Crisis
The challenges don’t end with deforestation. Pollution and rapid urbanization further strain the global water cycle, affecting not only rainfall but also increasing the frequency of extreme weather events like droughts and floods. This cascade effect also hits food production, as nearly half of the world’s food is grown in regions facing critical water shortages, including parts of southern Europe, northeastern China, and northwestern India.
Economic Consequences of Water Scarcity
The economic impact of water scarcity could be substantial. High-income countries could see GDP contractions of up to 8%, while lower-income nations could face even steeper declines, with losses between 10% to 15%.
Solutions: From Policy to Technology
The Global Commission on the Economics of Water (GCEW) has recommended several solutions: restoring ecosystems, protecting forests, scaling up water-efficient technologies, and adopting sustainable farming practices. One promising technology gaining traction is atmospheric water generation (AWG).
AWGs essentially extract water from the air. These devices cool humid air to its dew point, causing water vapor to condense. This condensed water is then filtered, meeting WHO standards for drinking water. They work particularly well in high-humidity areas, such as Mumbai, where AWGs have been installed at six railway stations, providing clean drinking water to commuters. AWGs are also used in the Navajo Nation in Arizona, generating up to 200 gallons (over 750 liters) of potable water daily, and can be found in parks and beaches in Abu Dhabi.
Making AWG Affordable Through Public-Private Partnerships
Despite their promise, AWGs come with a high price tag. A mid-sized commercial unit can cost between $30,000 to $50,000. Public-private partnerships could make this solution more affordable, with corporations sharing costs with governments. Cities could even treat AWGs as an insurance policy: rather than paying upfront, municipal corporations could make monthly payments to companies providing AWG services. In the event of a water crisis, these AWG farms could be deployed within 72 hours, faster than most government responses. These monthly payments would help cover machine financing and upkeep.
A Global Issue Needing Urgent Action
The drought situation in New York is not an isolated event—it’s part of a broader global issue, one that could spread to other regions if left unchecked. Governments, corporations, and individuals alike must collaborate to address these challenges before it’s too late.
Now is the time to act.
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